Every strategy here is backtested on identical untuned parameters across 40+ coins, then held to a brutal standard: pass on multiple systems, survive out-of-sample, then prove it on forward paper trading before a single real dollar moves.
Hard boundary: research, backtesting, and paper-trade design only. No real-money trading, no orders, no API keys without explicit approval. Wave-rider is dead — do not trade it.
Three systems, identical parameters on every coin, no per-coin tuning. Pass bar: net > 0, profit factor > 1.2, ≥100 trades, fee drag < 0.5. A single-system pass proves nothing — 150 tests produce winners by luck alone.
MBGUSDT
✓ PASSES 2 SYSTEMS
v1 · Channel fadePF 1.66 · +$177 · 206tr
v3 · Impulse reversalPF 2.18 · +$732 · 229tr
v2 · Range fadePF 0.97 · no pass
68% win rate on v3. Profitable in both directions — not just shorting a downtrend. Data clean, no bad ticks.
UPCUSDT
✓ PASSES 2 SYSTEMS
v1 · Channel fadePF 1.65 · +$255 · 190tr
v3 · Impulse reversalPF 1.36 · +$213 · 161tr
v2 · Range fadePF 1.13 · no pass
Both directions profitable. Data clean. Clears the first credibility bar — now needs forward validation.
MEYUSDT
⚠ INCONCLUSIVE
v1 · Channel fadePF 1.98 · +$371 · 212tr
v2 / v3no pass
Single-system pass could be luck. Already dropping out of top-50. Early OOS breakdown (PF 0.38 on 9 trades). Not a candidate.
BTCUSDT
✗ FAILS ALL
v1PF 0.80
v2PF 1.48 · only 37tr
v3PF 0.74
v2 shows PF 1.48 but only 37 trades — below the 100-trade bar. No system viable on BTC with these parameters.
Full sweep table
All 40 coins, ranked by best profit factor. Green = pass.
Coin
v1 PF
v2 PF
v3 PF
Verdict
MBGUSDT
1.66 ✓
0.97
2.18 ✓
2-system
UPCUSDT
1.65 ✓
1.13
1.36 ✓
2-system
MEYUSDT
1.98 ✓
0.43
1.16
inconclusive
ENAUSDT
0.73
3.17*
0.89
—
龙虾USDT
0.88
2.11*
0.69
—
ETHFIUSDT
0.81
1.92*
0.78
—
BTCUSDT
0.80
1.48*
0.74
fails all
WLDUSDT
0.89
1.38*
1.05
—
PUMPUSDT
0.90
1.36*
1.04
—
FILUSDT
0.94
1.36*
0.89
—
* v2 high PFs are all on <45 trades — below the 100-trade bar. No v2 passes exist. Showing top 10 of 40.
Roadmap to live
Nothing trades real money until every gate below is cleared. We are at step 2.
1 · Backtest sweepDone 2026-10-03. MBG + UPC clear the 2-system bar. Pre-registered design, no tuning.
2 · Continuous researchWeekly 50-coin re-sweeps, OOS tracking on MBG/UPC, new MEXC listings. Running now.